Nigeria

Muhammadu Buhari

President
2015–2023 Nigeria
APC

Anti-corruption drive, Second Niger Bridge, Lagos-Ibadan Expressway progress. Criticized for insecurity, economic recession, and massive debt accumulation.

35Poor
Overall Score
30Poor
Projects
32Poor
Budget
28Poor
Crises
40Fair
Debt

Performance Radar

ProjectsBudgetCrisesDebt

Debt Tracker

Total Debt$46.3B
Total Budget$120.0B

Debt-to-Budget ratio: 38.6%

Sector Allocation

Public Sentiment Score

50
/100

Mixed/Neutral

Budget by Year ($M)

19872009201320152017201820202021025005000750010000

Legacy Projects (13)

Port Harcourt-Maiduguri Rail (Contract Signed)

Stalled
Railways
2021–

Contract signed but no significant groundwork; one of largest rail contracts in Nigeria history.

4.0B

Petroleum Industry Act (PIA)

Completed
Other
2021–2021

Landmark PIA signed after 20 years of attempts; restructured NNPC to NNPC Ltd; fiscal terms overhauled.

50M

Ibadan-Abuja Road Rehabilitation

Ongoing
Roads
2020–

648 km road rehabilitation; multiple contractors; major delays and cost overruns.

700M

Second Niger Bridge

Completed
Bridges
2018–2022

1.6 km bridge at Onitsha-Asaba; opened December 2022; 60-year wait fulfilled.

407M

Second Niger Bridge

Completed
Bridges
2018–2022

1.6km bridge linking Asaba (Delta) to Onitsha (Anambra). Key economic corridor.

360M
Source

Abuja-Kaduna-Kano Expressway

Ongoing
Roads
2018–

375km road connecting Nigeria's three major northern cities.

2.4B
Source

Ajaokuta Steel Complex (Continued)

Stalled
Other
2017–

Buhari pledged to revive Ajaokuta; Ispat deal cancelled; Global Infrastructure Partners deal failed; still not functional after $8B+ cumulative investment.

1.2B

Mambilla Hydropower Project

Stalled
Electricity
2017–

3,050 MW project on Taraba River; contracts signed with Chinese firms; stalled due to funding disputes.

5.8B

Lagos-Ibadan Standard Gauge Rail

Completed
Railways
2017–2021

186 km standard gauge rail; Lagos to Ibadan; commissioned June 2021; China-financed.

1.5B

CBN Anchor Borrowers Programme

Completed
Agriculture
2015–2023

N800 billion disbursed to smallholder farmers; boosted rice and wheat production but plagued by repayment defaults.

2.0B

Lagos-Ibadan Expressway

Completed
Roads
2013–2023

167km dual carriageway connecting Lagos and Ibadan. Started under Jonathan, completed under Buhari/Tinubu.

1.5B
Source

Abuja-Kaduna Rail Line

Completed
Railways
2009–2016

Standard gauge rail commissioned July 2016; Abuja to Kaduna; funded by China Exim Bank.

874M

Itakpe-Warri Rail Line

Completed
Railways
1987–2020

Built over 33 years; commissioned 2020; connects iron ore fields to steel complex.

410M

Events & Crises Timeline

$25B External Debt Accumulation

2023
Economic

Nigeria's external debt rose from $10B to $43B under Buhari; borrowed from China, World Bank, Eurobond markets for infrastructure; debt sustainability questioned.

Naira Redesign Crisis

2023
Policy

CBN redesigned N200/500/1000 notes; acute cash crunch; ATMs empty; protests; economy disrupted in election season.

Naira Redesign Crisis

2023
Economic

Cash swap policy causing nationwide cash shortage, protests, and economic disruption ahead of 2023 elections.

Reuters

Buhari's $3B Eurobond (2021)

2021
Economic

Nigeria raised $3B via Eurobond at 6.125%–8.375%; used for capital expenditure in 2021 budget.

Buhari's IMF $3.4B COVID Loan

2020
Economic

IMF approved $3.4B rapid financing for Nigeria due to COVID-19; first IMF programme in 20 years; conditions attached to FX reforms.

FX Crisis & Naira Collapse

2020
Economic

Multiple devaluations of naira; parallel market premium widened; CBN FX restrictions caused capital flight; dollar shortage.

COVID-19 Pandemic Response

2020
Crisis

NCDC managed COVID; $150M World Bank loan; economy contracted 1.8%; $1.5B IMF rapid financing; extended lockdown.

EndSARS Lekki Tollgate Massacre

2020
Protest
12 deaths

Youth protest against police brutality; SARS disbanded; Lekki shooting October 20, 2020; Lagos properties burned; $1B+ economic damage.

#EndSARS Protests

2020
Protest
51 deaths

Nationwide protests against police brutality (SARS unit). Lekki Toll Gate shooting on Oct 20. International condemnation.

Amnesty International

Buhari's China Loan ($5.3B Exim Bank)

2018
Economic

Nigeria borrowed $5.3B from China Exim Bank for railways; collateralisation with national assets sparked national debate; Chinese access to airports alleged.

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